Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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